Fantasy
BetaModel projections in fantasy scoring. Recent form × matchup, with floor and ceiling from the full stat distributions. We publish our projection accuracy before any start/sit advice becomes a recommendation.
?New here? How to use the Fantasy pageshow
- 1Pick your sport and scoring format
The tabs up top switch sports; the yellow tabs switch scoring (PPR, Standard, daily fantasy…). Pick the one that matches YOUR league. The same player scores differently under each. The "What do PPR, Half PPR, DFS Classic, DFS Half-PPR mean?" legend below explains every format.
- 2NFL: pick your week
The numbered chips select an NFL week. The current week is the default; future weeks show an advance forecast for roster planning. Projections firm up as games get played. Greyed-out weeks don't have their schedule loaded yet.
- 3Read the rankings
Proj is the most likely fantasy score against that week's opponent. Floor is a bad night (only 1 game in 10 lands below it); Ceiling is a great one. Safe cash plays lean on Floor; tournament swings chase Ceiling.
- 4Settle start/sit debates
Type two players into START / SIT and we give a verdict with a confidence percentage. The probability the first outscores the second this week. TEAM DEFENCE mode compares whole defensive units.
- 5Then go deeper
My Watchlist tracks your own players' situations. Season-Long has rest-of-season rankings and trade values. Each section has its own "?" guide like this one.
Everything here is model projection. Validated privately against real box scores before any of it becomes advice. We do not guarantee outcomes.
?What do PPR, Half PPR, DFS Classic, DFS Half-PPR mean?show
Catches score nothing. Yardage and touchdowns only. Old-school format where workhorse running backs shine.
Every catch is worth +1 point (plus 0.1/yard, 6/TD). The most common season-long league format. Favors pass-catching backs and slot receivers.
Every catch is worth +0.5 points. The compromise format many leagues use to balance runners vs receivers.
Daily-fantasy classic scoring: full PPR plus milestone bonuses (+3 for 300+ pass yds, +3 for 100+ rush or receiving yds). Our projections price each bonus by the player's real probability of clearing it.
Daily-fantasy half-PPR scoring: half PPR, −1 per interception, no yardage bonuses.
The TEAM DEFENCE tab ranks whole team defences the way leagues roster them: points-allowed brackets (fewer allowed = more points) plus sacks ×1, interception takeaways ×2 and defensive TDs ×6.
Proj is the most likely fantasy score. Floor is a bad night (only 1 game in 10 lands below it); Ceiling is a great one (1 in 10 lands above). Cash-game players lean on floors; tournament players chase ceilings. Same stat line, different points per format · pick the tab that matches the league or contest you actually play.
?What do the symbols and numbers mean?show
The green number is our projection: the most likely fantasy score against this week's opponent, in the scoring format you selected above.
Floor is a bad night: only about 1 game in 10 lands below it. Ceiling is a great night: only about 1 in 10 lands above it. Safe lineups lean on Floor; tournament swings chase Ceiling.
How predictable a player's score is. It compares the gap between Floor and Ceiling to the projection: a narrow gap means you usually get about the projected number; a wide gap means huge nights AND duds are both in play. More bars = wilder swings.
A teammate is injured or out, so this player is expected to get extra touches. His projection has been raised to reflect the bigger role.
A dash simply means no data for that spot (for example, no opponent announced yet). A greyed-out week number means that week's schedule is not loaded yet.
?How to use the Season-Long toolsshow
These two views answer the questions every season-long league manager asks: who scores most from here on, and what are my players worth in trades?
- 1ROS Rankings = Rest Of Season
Per-game projection × how many games each team still has to play. A slightly worse player with more games left can out-produce a star with fewer. This is the list for keep/drop decisions.
- 2Trade Values = the 0–100 chart
The familiar trade-chart scale: the best player is 100 and everyone else is measured against him. Fair trades exchange roughly equal total value. But note a 100 is worth MORE than two 50s, because elite production is scarce and roster spots aren't free.
- 3The USAGE ↑ badge
Wherever you see it, an injured teammate's volume is being redistributed to that player and their projection has been raised accordingly. Add players to your Watchlist to get this signal for your own roster.
Everything updates nightly as box scores and injury reports come in. We do not guarantee outcomes.
?How to use the DFS Optimizershow
Daily Fantasy sites make you build a lineup under a salary cap. This tool finds the most projected points your budget can buy.
- 1Get the salary file from your DFS site
Open the contest you want to enter on their site, look for the "Export to CSV" / "Download players list" link in the player pool, and save the file. Don't edit it. Upload it exactly as downloaded.
- 2Pick the site tab and upload
Choose the format matching your DFS site above (salary caps differ between formats), then hit "Upload salary CSV" and select the file. We auto-detect the format.
- 3Read the Value Board
Every player is ranked by "Value /$1k". Projected fantasy points per $1,000 of salary. Higher = more bang for your budget. A cheap player with a big matchup often out-values a superstar.
- 4Use the Optimal Lineup
The card at the top is the highest-projected lineup that legally fits the roster slots and the salary cap. Enter it as-is, or use it as a starting point and swap players you disagree with.
- 5Players marked "no projection yet"
Usually rookies or players without enough recent games for our model to project. They're not hidden picks. We just won't guess.
Included with Elite and Oracle plans. Projections are model output from recent form and matchup. We do not guarantee outcomes.