Fantasy
BetaModel projections in fantasy scoring — recent form × matchup, with floor and ceiling from the full stat distributions. We publish our projection accuracy before any start/sit advice becomes a recommendation.
?New here? How to use the Fantasy pageshow
- 1Pick your sport and scoring format
The tabs up top switch sports; the yellow tabs switch scoring (PPR, Standard, daily fantasy…). Pick the one that matches YOUR league — the same player scores differently under each. The "What do PPR, Half PPR, DFS Classic, DFS Half-PPR mean?" legend below explains every format.
- 2NFL: pick your week
The numbered chips select an NFL week. The current week is the default; future weeks show an advance forecast for roster planning — projections firm up as games get played. Greyed-out weeks don't have their schedule loaded yet.
- 3Read the rankings
Proj is the most likely fantasy score against that week's opponent. Floor is a bad night (only 1 game in 10 lands below it); Ceiling is a great one. Safe cash plays lean on Floor; tournament swings chase Ceiling.
- 4Settle start/sit debates
Type two players into START / SIT and we give a verdict with a confidence percentage — the probability the first outscores the second this week. TEAM DEFENCE mode compares whole defensive units.
- 5Then go deeper
My Watchlist tracks your own players' situations. Season-Long has rest-of-season rankings and trade values. Each section has its own "?" guide like this one.
Everything here is model projection — validated privately against real box scores before any of it becomes advice. We do not guarantee outcomes.
?What do PPR, Half PPR, DFS Classic, DFS Half-PPR mean?show
Catches score nothing — yardage and touchdowns only. Old-school format where workhorse running backs shine.
Every catch is worth +1 point (plus 0.1/yard, 6/TD). The most common season-long league format — favors pass-catching backs and slot receivers.
Every catch is worth +0.5 points. The compromise format many leagues use to balance runners vs receivers.
Daily-fantasy classic scoring: full PPR plus milestone bonuses (+3 for 300+ pass yds, +3 for 100+ rush or receiving yds). Our projections price each bonus by the player's real probability of clearing it.
Daily-fantasy half-PPR scoring: half PPR, −1 per interception, no yardage bonuses.
The TEAM DEFENCE tab ranks whole team defences the way leagues roster them: points-allowed brackets (fewer allowed = more points) plus sacks ×1, interception takeaways ×2 and defensive TDs ×6.
Proj is the most likely fantasy score. Floor is a bad night (only 1 game in 10 lands below it); Ceiling is a great one (1 in 10 lands above). Cash-game players lean on floors; tournament players chase ceilings. Same stat line, different points per format — pick the tab that matches the league or contest you actually play.
?How to use the Season-Long toolsshow
These two views answer the questions every season-long league manager asks: who scores most from here on, and what are my players worth in trades?
- 1ROS Rankings = Rest Of Season
Per-game projection × how many games each team still has to play. A slightly worse player with more games left can out-produce a star with fewer — this is the list for keep/drop decisions.
- 2Trade Values = the 0–100 chart
The familiar trade-chart scale: the best player is 100 and everyone else is measured against him. Fair trades exchange roughly equal total value — but note a 100 is worth MORE than two 50s, because elite production is scarce and roster spots aren't free.
- 3The USAGE ↑ badge
Wherever you see it, an injured teammate's volume is being redistributed to that player and their projection has been raised accordingly. Add players to your Watchlist to get this signal for your own roster.
Everything updates nightly as box scores and injury reports come in. We do not guarantee outcomes.